Circles and patterns on PUBG

How to have a knowledge advantage?

One standard rule you may know on PUBG is the land ratio rule. In competitive settings, circles 4 and 8 are supposed to avoid water (and unplayable hills on Miramar) to provide the best competitive experience possible and reduce the number of extreme situations. It’s a well-known rule everybody playing or watching PUBG is now familiar with.

Other than this “official” rule, experience has proven there might be other “hidden” rules when it comes to circles. For every update, circles are surprisingly concentrated on specific areas of the map and avoid others.

Even if there is no clear explanation for this phenomenon, a lot of matches have been played on Esports Server A (update 10.1) since early January and it’ll be the opportunity to prove and demonstrate my point.

Miramar

Miramar is an excellent example. When you look at positions teams have won games from, you realize that some areas of the map are empty:

• Power Grid,
• West of Cruz del Valle,
• Area between Pecado and Chumacera,
• South of Los Leones,

All those areas were common-ending areas during the previous patch. It’s not always easy to figure out that kind of thing (because of the sample size), but thanks to more than 100 games played on this patch, it’s pretty clear that there are, indeed, trends.

It’s not an exact science. However, such knowledge can easily help you adjust your game plans and play games from positions you’re more likely to have an easy game.

Last weekend, five-sixths of RYE Royale matches and all PUBG Japan Challenge matches have respected these tendencies.

Erangel

On Erangel, and even if circles are more equally dispersed, two areas are left behind compared to what they were used to:

• School area,
• Mylta Power area,

Both these areas have been the theater of superb confrontations in previous patches, and will likely wait for another patch to regain their glory.

Once again last weekend, two-third of yesterday’s RYE Royale matches and all PUBG Japan Challenge matches have been predictable, and some teams would be well-advised to play by the odds.

Conclusion

One can argue my analysis is a bit biased because I’m using positions teams have won a game from instead of the final circle position. However, in a game where you can’t confidently say where the exact final position would be, it seems fair to fair to maximize your chances to play for as many scenarios as possible, and have an opportunity to get the most out of each.

That being said, with both the RYE royale and PUBG Japan Challenge to be continued in the next few weeks, along with PGI.S and more tournaments to come, there is still a lot of room to confirm our observations.

Stay tuned for more articles about PUBG coming next week.

Maxime “Znooper” GONY